{"id":37234,"date":"2019-10-17T10:11:21","date_gmt":"2019-10-17T13:11:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.isletasnoticias.com.ar\/?p=37234"},"modified":"2019-10-17T10:11:21","modified_gmt":"2019-10-17T13:11:21","slug":"en-cuatro-anos-de-gobierno-de-cambiemos-la-inflacion-acumulara-una-suba-de-300","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informelitoral.com.ar\/en-cuatro-anos-de-gobierno-de-cambiemos-la-inflacion-acumulara-una-suba-de-300\/","title":{"rendered":"En cuatro a\u00f1os de gobierno de Cambiemos la inflaci\u00f3n acumular\u00e1 una suba de 300%"},"content":{"rendered":"
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El avance del\u00a0tipo de cambio<\/b>\u00a0y el incremento de las\u00a0tarifas<\/b> este a\u00f1o fue m\u00e1s atenuado que en 2018, mientras que el Banco Central\u00a0<\/b>ajust\u00f3 la cantidad de dinero en circulaci\u00f3n, en base a altas tasas.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Pero la\u00a0inercia inflacionaria no se detuvo<\/b>\u00a0y el 2019 apunta a terminar con una\u00a0inflaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s alta que en 2018<\/b>, cuando complet\u00f3 los doce meses en 47,6 por ciento. La econom\u00eda argentina experimenta una\u00a0inflaci\u00f3n superior al 50% anual hace ocho meses<\/b>, desde febrero pasado.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Sin contar alg\u00fan evento cambiario en torno a las elecciones presidenciales, este a\u00f1o podr\u00eda finalizar con una\u00a0inflaci\u00f3n minorista del orden del 55%<\/b>, unos ocho puntos por encima del a\u00f1o anterior y la\u00a0m\u00e1s alta desde 1991<\/b>, cuando trep\u00f3 un 84%, en el tramo final de la hist\u00f3rica hiperinflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Lejos qued\u00f3 el 24,8% anual de 2017, donde influy\u00f3 un ostensible atraso cambiario afianzado por el fuerte endeudamiento en d\u00f3lares. Con estas proyecciones el gobierno de Mauricio Macri<\/b>\u00a0acumular\u00eda en\u00a0cuatro a\u00f1os de mandato una inflaci\u00f3n de 300%<\/b>, al considerar una inflaci\u00f3n de 40,3% en 2016, seg\u00fan el \u00cdndice Congreso.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Esto quiere decir que, en promedio, los\u00a0precios al p\u00fablico se multiplicaron por cuatro<\/b>\u00a0en cuatro a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Adem\u00e1s de la\u00a0tensi\u00f3n pol\u00edtica<\/b>\u00a0por las elecciones, la\u00a0extrema fragilidad financiera<\/b>\u00a0se traduce en\u00a0presi\u00f3n sobre los precios y el tipo de cambio<\/b> para el corto plazo, en un marco de un parcial \u201ccepo\u201d al d\u00f3lar, reperfilamiento de deuda, ca\u00edda de reservas, cr\u00e9dito externo inaccesible, salida de dep\u00f3sitos y un acuerdo con el FMI en modo \u201cpausa\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u201cEn t\u00e9rminos anuales, la inflaci\u00f3n cerrar\u00e1 entre 55% y 60%<\/b>, y el a\u00f1o que viene se proyecta en 45%. A eso se suma que hay\u00a0riesgos de monetizaci\u00f3n<\/b>\u00a0hacia el final de a\u00f1o que pueden influir en una mayor din\u00e1mica de precios\u201d, advirti\u00f3\u00a0Eduardo Luis Fracchia<\/b>, experto del IAE de la Universidad Austral.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cPensamos que lo m\u00e1s sensato para el sector privado ser\u00eda\u00a0esperar m\u00e1s inflaci\u00f3n<\/b>\u00a0que terminar\u00e1 significando tambi\u00e9n peor nivel de actividad y\u00a0m\u00e1s ca\u00edda del PIB<\/b>\u00a0per c\u00e1pita en 2020\u201d, revel\u00f3 la consultora\u00a0Econom\u00eda & Regiones<\/b>.<\/p>\n

El <\/span>Fondo Monetario<\/b>\u00a0Internacional (FMI) present\u00f3 en Washington sus \u00faltimos pron\u00f3sticos en su Panorama Econ\u00f3mico Global (<\/span>World Economic Outlook), que la inflaci\u00f3n aumentar\u00e1 otra vez respecto del a\u00f1o previo, y ser\u00e1 la\u00a0<\/span>tercera m\u00e1s alta del mundo<\/b>.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Solo 17 pa\u00edses\u00a0<\/b>registrar\u00e1n en 2019 un alza de precios minoristas\u00a0por encima de dos d\u00edgitos<\/b>\u00a0en promedio. El FMI proyecta una inflaci\u00f3n en Argentina de\u00a057,3% para todo el a\u00f1o<\/b>, superada por\u00a0Venezuela<\/b>\u00a0(un estratosf\u00e9rico 200.000% anual) y\u00a0Zimbabue<\/b>, con un 182,9 por ciento.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Argentina dej\u00f3 rezagado a un territorio partido en dos pa\u00edses por la secesi\u00f3n, pues le siguen\u00a0Sud\u00e1n<\/b>\u00a0(56,9%) y\u00a0Sud\u00e1n del Sur<\/b>\u00a0(35,9%).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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El \u00faltimo Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM<\/b>) del Banco Central, que consulta a economistas del sector privado e instituciones acad\u00e9micas, arroj\u00f3 una\u00a0previsi\u00f3n de inflaci\u00f3n del 54,9%<\/b> anual para diciembre de 2019. (Fuente: Infobae)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Argentina enfrenta un cierre de a\u00f1o con m\u00e1s inflaci\u00f3n que en 2018 y por encima del 50% anual, la m\u00e1s elevada desde 1991.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":24321,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[29,78,95,80,32],"class_list":{"0":"post-37234","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nacionales","8":"tag-cambiemos","9":"tag-indec","10":"tag-inflacion","11":"tag-mauricio-macri","12":"tag-precios"},"yoast_head":"En cuatro a\u00f1os de gobierno de Cambiemos la inflaci\u00f3n acumular\u00e1 una suba de 300% - Informe Litoral<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informelitoral.com.ar\/en-cuatro-anos-de-gobierno-de-cambiemos-la-inflacion-acumulara-una-suba-de-300\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"En cuatro a\u00f1os de gobierno de Cambiemos la inflaci\u00f3n acumular\u00e1 una suba de 300% - 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