{"id":229040,"date":"2025-07-31T08:37:12","date_gmt":"2025-07-31T11:37:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informelitoral.com.ar\/?p=229040"},"modified":"2025-07-31T10:49:28","modified_gmt":"2025-07-31T13:49:28","slug":"sector-agropecuario-calculan-que-ingresaran-us-28-800-millones-extra-en-10-anos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informelitoral.com.ar\/sector-agropecuario-calculan-que-ingresaran-us-28-800-millones-extra-en-10-anos\/","title":{"rendered":"Sector agropecuario: calculan que ingresar\u00e1n U$S 28.800 millones extra en 10 a\u00f1os"},"content":{"rendered":"

La Bolsa de Comercio de Rosario (BCR) realiz\u00f3 una proyecci\u00f3n que anticipa un incremento del\u00a08% en la producci\u00f3n agr\u00edcola de Argentina hacia 2035<\/b>, impulsado principalmente por la\u00a0baja permanente de las retenciones<\/b>\u00a0anunciada por el presidente Javier Milei.<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan la BCR, la producci\u00f3n agr\u00edcola pasar\u00eda de\u00a0159,3 millones de toneladas<\/b>\u00a0en la actualidad a\u00a0172,3 millones de toneladas<\/b>\u00a0en el a\u00f1o 2035, lo que implica una\u00a0inyecci\u00f3n adicional de US$28.800 millones<\/b> provenientes del sector agropecuario.<\/p>\n

Esta estimaci\u00f3n tiene como base los anuncios recientes del gobierno, que apuntan a la\u00a0eliminaci\u00f3n de la brecha cambiaria<\/b>, lo cual impactar\u00e1 positivamente en los ingresos del productor.\u00a0Sin la brecha cambiaria y con las menores al\u00edcuotas de retenciones anunciadas<\/b>, se prev\u00e9 que el sector agr\u00edcola aumente significativamente su producci\u00f3n, lo que resultar\u00e1 en un crecimiento en los ingresos nacionales.<\/p>\n

Del archivo:\u00a0Abejas multiplican el rendimiento de la soja, confirma el INTA<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/h6>\n

El \u00abd\u00f3lar cash\u00bb y sus beneficios para el productor agr\u00edcola<\/b><\/h2>\n

La BCR destac\u00f3 que la\u00a0baja de al\u00edcuotas y la eliminaci\u00f3n de la brecha cambiaria<\/b>\u00a0permitir\u00e1 que los productores reciban el\u00a0\u201cd\u00f3lar cash\u201d<\/b>, lo que significa que podr\u00e1n comercializar a un tipo de cambio m\u00e1s favorable, sin las retenciones de soja. Seg\u00fan el an\u00e1lisis, esto llevar\u00e1 a\u00a0\u201cniveles cercanos a m\u00e1ximos desde 2012, equiparables al per\u00edodo 2016-2018\u201d<\/b>.<\/p>\n

El\u00a0d\u00f3lar cash<\/b>\u00a0se refiere al tipo de cambio utilizado en las transacciones sobre el precio FOB (Free On Board), que es el precio de la mercader\u00eda puesta en el barco en el puerto de origen y lista para exportaci\u00f3n. Este mecanismo favorece directamente a los productores, al permitirles\u00a0acceder a precios m\u00e1s altos<\/b>\u00a0en los mercados internacionales, lo que podr\u00eda traducirse en una\u00a0mayor rentabilidad<\/b>\u00a0para el sector.<\/p>\n

\"Proyecci&oacute;n<\/figure>\n

Si bien algunos productos a\u00fan est\u00e1n por debajo de los valores alcanzados durante el per\u00edodo de al\u00edcuotas al\u00a00%<\/b>, los niveles actuales siguen siendo\u00a0superiores a los de la etapa previa a la implementaci\u00f3n de las nuevas pol\u00edticas cambiarias<\/b>.<\/p>\n

Impacto en las exportaciones y en la econom\u00eda nacional<\/strong><\/h2>\n

La proyecci\u00f3n de la BCR tambi\u00e9n anticipa un\u00a0aumento del 10% en el volumen de exportaciones<\/b>\u00a0hacia 2035, en comparaci\u00f3n con el escenario base. Seg\u00fan los c\u00e1lculos, para la campa\u00f1a\u00a02034\/35<\/b>, el volumen de exportaci\u00f3n de granos y subproductos de la Argentina pasar\u00eda de\u00a0105,6 millones de toneladas<\/b>\u00a0a\u00a0115,7 millones de toneladas<\/b>, lo que representar\u00eda un aumento de\u00a010,1 millones de toneladas<\/b>\u00a0adicionales.<\/p>\n

Este incremento en la producci\u00f3n y las exportaciones tiene un impacto significativo en la econom\u00eda nacional, ya que\u00a0\u201cesta inyecci\u00f3n de valor agregado redundar\u00e1 en un incremento del nivel de actividad que excede a la producci\u00f3n primaria \u2018per se’\u201d<\/b>, explic\u00f3 la BCR.<\/p>\n

Este crecimiento involucra, entre otros factores, un aumento en la\u00a0actividad en el transporte y fletes<\/b>, la\u00a0venta de insumos<\/b>, y la\u00a0mayor demanda de servicios financieros y de intermediaci\u00f3n<\/b>, especialmente relacionados al\u00a0almacenaje y acondicionamiento<\/b>\u00a0de los productos.<\/p>\n

La BCR elabor\u00f3 sus proyecciones utilizando el modelo\u00a0AGMEMOD<\/i>, que permite simular los efectos de las pol\u00edticas p\u00fablicas sobre la producci\u00f3n agropecuaria, bas\u00e1ndose en diferentes escenarios posibles. Este modelo es clave para anticipar las\u00a0tendencias en producci\u00f3n, exportaciones y m\u00e1rgenes de rentabilidad<\/b>\u00a0bajo distintas condiciones de mercado y decisiones del Gobierno.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La producci\u00f3n agr\u00edcola argentina proyectada a 2035 sube de 159,3 millones de toneladas a 172,3 millones de toneladas. De esta manera, pasar\u00e1n a ser US$28.800 millones acumulados adicionales que inyectar\u00e1 el campo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":76148,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[5921,924,4206],"class_list":{"0":"post-229040","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-campo","8":"tag-bolsa-de-cereales-de-rosario","9":"tag-dolares","10":"tag-sector-agropecuario"},"yoast_head":"Sector agropecuario: calculan que ingresar\u00e1n U$S 28.800 millones extra en 10 a\u00f1os - Informe Litoral<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informelitoral.com.ar\/sector-agropecuario-calculan-que-ingresaran-us-28-800-millones-extra-en-10-anos\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sector agropecuario: calculan que ingresar\u00e1n U$S 28.800 millones extra en 10 a\u00f1os - Informe Litoral\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La producci\u00f3n agr\u00edcola argentina proyectada a 2035 sube de 159,3 millones de toneladas a 172,3 millones de toneladas. 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