{"id":224456,"date":"2025-06-18T08:35:43","date_gmt":"2025-06-18T11:35:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/informelitoral.com.ar\/?p=224456"},"modified":"2025-06-18T08:38:39","modified_gmt":"2025-06-18T11:38:39","slug":"224456-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informelitoral.com.ar\/224456-2\/","title":{"rendered":"El campo acelera exportaciones y anuncia r\u00e9cord de divisas ante el cambio de retenciones"},"content":{"rendered":"

El sector agroexportador atraviesa un pico de actividad inusual para esta \u00e9poca del a\u00f1o. Con el cambio en el esquema de derechos de exportaci\u00f3n (DEX) previsto para el 1 de julio, productores y empresas agroindustriales aceleraron ventas de soja y ma\u00edz, generando un volumen sin precedentes. Seg\u00fan estimaciones privadas, la liquidaci\u00f3n de divisas podr\u00eda ubicarse entre los u$s4.500 y u$s5.500 millones, una cifra r\u00e9cord para un mes de junio.<\/p>\n

La medida oficial que determin\u00f3 el regreso al 33% de retenciones para la soja y la finalizaci\u00f3n de la al\u00edcuota reducida para el ma\u00edz gener\u00f3 una fuerte presi\u00f3n comercial. A solo nueve d\u00edas h\u00e1biles del cambio, se registraron exportaciones por 7,9 millones de toneladas de granos y subproductos, el doble del promedio hist\u00f3rico para este per\u00edodo.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Contrarreloj para cerrar ventas y asegurar precios<\/strong><\/h2>\n

El an\u00e1lisis del mercado revela un comportamiento acelerado por parte de los productores, que buscan evitar el impacto fiscal y asegurar precios competitivos antes del cambio de r\u00e9gimen. Las cifras oficiales indican que, al 12 de junio, se exportaron 3,5 millones de toneladas de ma\u00edz, 2,2 millones de harina de soja, 1,04 millones de poroto y 469 mil toneladas de aceite.<\/p>\n

El valor FOB declarado ya suma u$s2.300 millones, pero las proyecciones apuntan a superar ampliamente ese monto. Seg\u00fan analistas, si se sostiene el ritmo actual y los precios internacionales, las Declaraciones Juradas de Ventas al Exterior (DJVE) podr\u00edan alcanzar hasta 10 millones de toneladas, consolidando una liquidaci\u00f3n hist\u00f3rica.<\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s del componente impositivo, el empuje de las ventas se ve potenciado por una cosecha de soja que super\u00f3 expectativas. \u201cNo es el mejor momento de precios, pero s\u00ed una oportunidad fiscal \u00fanica\u201d, evalu\u00f3 un operador del mercado.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Perspectivas, tensiones y dudas para el segundo semestre<\/strong><\/h2>\n

El contexto internacional, con subas en el precio del petr\u00f3leo por la tensi\u00f3n en Medio Oriente, tambi\u00e9n contribuy\u00f3 a impulsar las ventas agr\u00edcolas. Frente a la incertidumbre, el mercado reaccion\u00f3 con rapidez. \u201cDesde fines de mayo hubo un salto notable: de 400.000 a m\u00e1s de 500.000 toneladas diarias\u201d, detall\u00f3 el consultor Javier Preciado Pati\u00f1o en di\u00e1logo con \u00c1mbito.<\/p>\n

No obstante, el escenario a partir del 1 de julio es incierto. Con el 70% de la soja a\u00fan sin precio fijado, la suba de retenciones podr\u00eda limitar la capacidad de pago de la exportaci\u00f3n, afectando los valores internos. Preciado Pati\u00f1o incluso advirti\u00f3 que \u201calguien en el mercado apuesta por la continuidad del 26% de DEX\u201d m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de esa fecha, lo que revela especulaci\u00f3n en torno a una posible pr\u00f3rroga.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Por ahora, el Gobierno solo confirm\u00f3 la extensi\u00f3n del beneficio fiscal para trigo y cebada, mientras que el ma\u00edz sigue bajo an\u00e1lisis. Esta indefinici\u00f3n mantiene en alerta al sector, que necesita previsibilidad para planificar operaciones log\u00edsticas y comerciales.<\/p>\n

El agro como sost\u00e9n del equilibrio externo<\/strong><\/h2>\n

En un semestre marcado por restricciones fiscales y necesidades de divisas, el ingreso de d\u00f3lares del agro aparece como una herramienta clave para el Ejecutivo. Las terminales portuarias trabajan a m\u00e1xima capacidad, las plantas de molienda aumentan turnos y los productores ajustan tiempos de entrega para no perder la ventana fiscal.<\/p>\n

De confirmarse las proyecciones, junio no solo marcar\u00e1 un r\u00e9cord de liquidaci\u00f3n mensual, sino que reforzar\u00e1 el rol estrat\u00e9gico del campo como principal motor de la econom\u00eda argentina. Pero tambi\u00e9n encender\u00e1 una se\u00f1al de alerta: sin previsibilidad en las reglas de juego, los incentivos a producir y exportar pueden verse comprometidos en el segundo semestre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Con el fin del alivio fiscal y la decisi\u00f3n oficial de no prorrogar la baja de las retenciones para la soja y el ma\u00edz, se activ\u00f3 un anticipo masivo de operaciones. Afirman que solo en junio, podr\u00edan liquidarse m\u00e1s de u$s5.500 millones.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":224457,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/elonce-media.elonce.com\/fotos\/2024\/10\/18\/e_1729287994_72846.webp","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[4663,83],"class_list":{"0":"post-224456","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-campo","8":"tag-agroindustrial","9":"tag-exportaciones"},"yoast_head":"El campo acelera exportaciones y anuncia r\u00e9cord de divisas ante el cambio de retenciones - Informe Litoral<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/informelitoral.com.ar\/224456-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El campo acelera exportaciones y anuncia r\u00e9cord de divisas ante el cambio de retenciones - Informe Litoral\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Con el fin del alivio fiscal y la decisi\u00f3n oficial de no prorrogar la baja de las retenciones para la soja y el ma\u00edz, se activ\u00f3 un anticipo masivo de operaciones. 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