{"id":181986,"date":"2024-02-21T08:32:37","date_gmt":"2024-02-21T11:32:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.informelitoral.com.ar\/?p=181986"},"modified":"2024-02-21T08:33:40","modified_gmt":"2024-02-21T11:33:40","slug":"harina-de-soja-cae-el-precio-internacional-y-afecta-a-las-exportaciones-argentinas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/informelitoral.com.ar\/harina-de-soja-cae-el-precio-internacional-y-afecta-a-las-exportaciones-argentinas\/","title":{"rendered":"Harina de soja: cae el precio internacional y afecta a las exportaciones argentinas"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

La Bolsa de Comercio de Rosario (BCR) estim\u00f3 que por el recorte de precios internacionales de la harina de soja habr\u00e1 una reducci\u00f3n en la proyecci\u00f3n de exportaciones por unos u$s 3.300 millones, en un mercado en el que Estados Unidos y Brasil apuntalaron su molienda y China redujo su consumo.<\/p>\n

El an\u00e1lisis sectorial de la BCR resalt\u00f3 que \u201cen lo que hace a volumen, la soja argentina se encuentra con lotes de suelos regulares a malos con estr\u00e9s y perdiendo rinde en un momento cr\u00edtico para el cultivo\u201d.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

No obstante,\u00a0a la espera de definici\u00f3n de rendimientos, las perspectivas de producci\u00f3n persisten por encima del desastre productivo que se vivi\u00f3 en la campa\u00f1a pasada.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cCon expectativa de recuperaci\u00f3n del cultivo, la harina de soja espera no s\u00f3lo consolidarse como principal producto exportado por la Rep\u00fablica Argentina, sino tambi\u00e9n devolver a nuestro pa\u00eds a la posici\u00f3n de liderazgo como exportador mundial de esta harina proteica\u201d, se explic\u00f3.<\/p>\n

En promedio, los \u00faltimos cinco a\u00f1os de los despachos al exterior de este producto representaron el 15% de las exportaciones nacionales totales.<\/p>\n

Por otro lado,\u00a0en precios, la din\u00e1mica del complejo soja en los mercados internacionales est\u00e1 lejos de ser promisoria.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Los precios FOB de exportaci\u00f3n de la harina y pellets de soja argentina vienen con una marcada baja y del promedio de u$s 533\/tn de junio a octubre de 2023, hoy se ubican apenas por encima de u$s 410\/tn, un recorte cercano al 23%, y el nivel m\u00e1s bajo desde diciembre del 2021.<\/p>\n

Mientras tanto, en Chicago las posiciones de mayor volumen operado en harina cayeron esta semana por debajo de u$s 390\/tn.<\/p>\n

As\u00ed, con previsiones preliminares de exportar m\u00e1s de 27 Mt de harina de soja en la venidera campa\u00f1a 2023\/24, las proyecciones ya sienten el impacto del recorte de precios.<\/p>\n

A los valores vigentes al inicio de la siembra, la proyecci\u00f3n de exportaciones de harina de soja superaba los u$s 14.560 millones.<\/p>\n

No obstante, si se tomaran los precios actuales de exportaci\u00f3n la harina de soja exportada podr\u00eda estimarse en u$s 11.270 millones, lo que representa un recorte exportador pr\u00f3ximo a los u$s 3.290 millones, imputable enteramente a la baja de precios.<\/p>\n

Entre las causas que explican la ca\u00edda de precio de la harina de soja, se menciona la perspectiva de la recuperaci\u00f3n productiva en el pa\u00eds luego del desastre del a\u00f1o pasado, sobre todo considerando la larga tradici\u00f3n argentina como principal exportador mundial de harina de soja.<\/strong><\/p>\n

A lo anterior se le sumar las alzas en la industrializaci\u00f3n de Brasil y Estados Unidos, con China planteando un escenario de mediano plazo de menos demanda de harina de soja.<\/p>\n

Finalmente, una posici\u00f3n neta muy vendedora por parte de los fondos de inversi\u00f3n, luego de r\u00e1pidas y fuertes alzas de tasas de inter\u00e9s a nivel global, es otro de los factores de peso a la hora de explicar la merma de precios de este producto de exportaci\u00f3n fundamental para el comercio exterior argentino, indica el relevamiento realizado por la Bolsa de Comercio de Rosario.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EEUU y Brasil apuntalaron su molienda y China redujo su consumo. 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